Sunday 05/24/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

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Sunday 05/24/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...
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Red Dog Sports

Toronto at Atlanta
Play: Under 8

The Braves have won the first two games in the series by 1-0 and 4-3. Jair Jurrgens has an ERA of 1.96 for Atlanta with 1 over and 7 unders this year. Richmond has an ERA of 3.64 and the Blue Jays have 36 unders, 17 overs and a push in their last 54 on Sunday. The Braves have played under 18-8-1 in their last 27 Interleague games. It looks like another under for Atlanta and Toronto on Sunday.
 
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Karl Garrett

Pittsburgh at WHITE SOX

Saturday comp play winner from the G-Man as the underdog Rockies come through at Detroit.

Now 4-1 the last 5 days for free!

On the diamond today, look for Mark Buehrle to continue his stingy ways against Pittsburgh.

Buehrle is 6-1 on the year, with a 2.77 ERA, and a closer inside of that mark shows the quick-working southpaw with a perfect 4-0 mark at home, and a 1.67 home ERA!

The Pirates bats have been kept quiet lately, as last night's game made it 4 straight UNDERS, and UNDERS in 7 of the last 11 for Pittsburgh. (as the Bucs have been UNDER in 3 of their last 4, and 6 of their last 11)

Pittsburgh has twiced faced Buehrle in inter-league play, and they have not been able to solve him, as Buehrle has worked 16 innings while allowing only 3 runs to score, while going 2-0 the last 2 years.

Jeff Karstens is adequate enough to keep the White Sox respectable, so let's play this Pittsburgh-Chicago game UNDER the posted total on the south side on Sunday.

1♦ UNDER
 
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Bobby Maxwell

Texas -110 at HOUSTON

FREE winner coming your way today as we play the Rangers on the road in Houston, taking on their in-state rivals in the Astros.

Something about playing their in-stat rivals really gets the Rangers going. They have won the first two games of this series and they've won nine of the last 13 they've played against the Astros. We'll go ahead and play Texas in this matchup today to make it a three-game sweep.

Brandon McCarthy (3-2, 5.60 ERA) is on the mound for the Rangers, facing Houston lefty Mike Hampton (2-3, 5.23 ERA). McCarthy has faced the Astros once in his career and was spectacular, giving up one run on four hits in six innings of a 14-1 easy win for Texas.

Houston has lost five of Hampton's last six starts, including Tuesday when he gave up two runs on three hits and went only four innings of a 4-2 loss to the Brewers. The Astros haven't won a home game with Hampton on the hill this season, going 0-4.

The Rangers are playing some good baseball, and if they hadn't made that ugly three-game stop in Detroit, they'd be on a hell of a run. They've won 14 of their last 19 overall and they are 6-1 in their last seven as a favorite.

Meanwhile, Houston is just 22-50 in their last 72 interleague games as a 'dog and 1-7 in their last eight at home against teams with winning records.

Play Texas to get this one and continue to dominate their in-state rival.

4♦ TEXAS
 
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Sports Gambling Hotline

Cleveland at ORLANDO

Saturday winner on the Lakers-Denver UNDER the total, now 8-1 the last 9 days with our comp plays.

NBA action today, and we look for the Cavaliers and Magic to play their 3rd OVER in as many games.

Coming into this series, both teams had been on pronounced UNDER streaks, but thus far in this series it has been the offense that has led the way, and both finals have landed OVER the total.

We just get the feeling that the change in venues is going to help Orlando's long distance game tonight, and we are going to see a few more three-pointers ring up on the scoreboard, pushing Game Three OVER the total as well.

5 of the last 9 between the teams have played HIGH, and we think this one will as well.

Play on the OVER in the Eastern Conference Finals.

1♦ OVER
 
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Matt Rivers

For Sunday take the number with the Giants.

Just like I said last week with Felix Hernandez in the winner I gave out on Anaheim right now, the guy certainly can be a total stud that can shut down any opponent but a bad team, which Seattle certainly is, cannot be laying a relatively large number like this, period.

The Giants are obviously a fairly awful squad that a lot of the time is offensively inept but once again bad teams just cannot be laying big prices.

Barry Zito is no longer a guy that can be fully trusted as the Cy Young days are long gone. But the lefty has been a lot better this season than last and I can see Zito hold his own today. It's not like Ichiro and these M's are exactly lighting up the scoreboard and should just tee off inning after inning.

San Francisco has enough offensively, maybe, to scratch across a few runs. Guys like Rowand, Molina, Sandoval and a few others are at least decent enough. No doubt collectively the G-Men are bad but Hernandez was hit fairly hard by the Angels last week and has not been all that of late.

In the end the Mariners are probably too good today as Hernandez should hurl seven or so strong innings but bad teams laying big numbers are a must goes against and that is the case right here.
 
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Jake Timlin

Take the Cardinals at home minus the cheap chalk.

In what might be one of the easiest calls of the day I fully expect for the Cardinals to sweep the Royals today. You see for the Cardinals not only are they getting solid pitching as the starters are a perfect 5-0 with an ERA of under 0.50, but the offense has not been helping out scoring 5 runs in each of the past two games which has lead to a five straight wins for St. Louis.

Meanwhile, for the Royals after starting the season red hot Kansas City has crashed back down to earth having lost their last 4 games and 11 of their last 14 games.

Flat out, given the pitching St. Louis is getting mixed in with the fact they are playing light’s out I only see a Cardinals sweep today as they make easy work of the Royals once again.

PICK: St. Louis Cardinals
 
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Rob Vinciletti

Detroit vs. Chicago
Play Chicago

On Sunday the Bonus Play is on the Chicago Blackhawks.Game 14 at 3:05 eastern.The Blackhawks made this a series off there 4-3 OT win on Friday night.Now they have the confidence going into game 4.They also have history on their side.Home teams in this round down 2-1 off a home win are 18-6 all-time.Look for Chicago to get the equalizer today.Take the Chicago Blackhawks.
 
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Jeff Benton

For Sunday's Bonus Play, we’ll back the Rays against the in-state rival Marlins.

The Marlins are a hard team to figure out. They're either red-hot or ice-cold. There's usually no middle ground for them.

They started the season 11-1, then lost seven in a row. The past two weeks, it's been the bad Marlins that have been taking the field, losing 11 of their last 13. And that's continuing an even longer run in which they are 8-24 since their 11-1 start.

The miserable Marlins should show up for a least another day against Rays ace James Shields. The right-hander is 0-2 in his last three starts, but he hasn't been pitching badly, with a 3.26 ERA over that span. Shields pitched 8 1/3 scoreless innings against the A's in his last outing, but only received a no-decision for his effort.

Tampa Bay started the year off slowly, maybe suffering a little hangover after its magical World Series run last season, but the team is starting to play like it did in 2008, winning three straight and seven of its last nine to climb over .500.

The Rays also have owned the Marlins in interleague play, winning seven in a row and outscoring their in-state rivals 68-19.

Josh Johnson is no slouch on the mound for Florida, at 3-1 with a 2.54 ERA, but the Rays are on a roll, while the Marlins are in a rut.

Shields has suffered some tough luck this year, going 1-3 in his last six starts despite a 2.91 ERA, but that will change today. Tampa Bay is 10-1 in Shields' last 11 Sunday starts. Go with the Rays.

3? TAMPA BAY
 
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Marc Lawrence

Play On: Philadelphia w/Hamels vs. Sabathia

The Phillies and Yankees wrap up a three game series in the House the George built when Cole Hamels takes on C.C. Sabathia Sunday afternoon in the Bronx. Hamels enters today's game knowing he is 13-4 in his career team starts during the month of May, including 8-2 on the road. On the flip side, Sabathia is 1-3 with a 6.61 ERA in his career team starts against Philadelphia. Look for the Phillies to improve to 17-4 on Sundays, their best day of the week, here today.
 
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Nelly

Florida + over Tampa Bay

The Rays have posted huge numbers in the first two games of this series but a flat spot should be expected on Sunday as the Marlins try to avoid the sweep. With the Marlins slumping there is great value on one of the best pitchers in the National League. Josh Johnson has 52 strikeouts and just 13 walks and Florida is 6-3 in his starts. At home he owns a 1.24 ERA while allowing a total of just ten earned runs over his last six starts. Florida's bullpen has also been solid with opposing batters hitting just .247 on the season. Tampa Bay is 1-5 in the last six starts for James Shields and he has not come close to the level of success he had last season. Shields has allowed 24 hits and ten runs in his last three starts and he has been a much worse pitcher away from home. With Troy Percival hitting the DL the Rays bullpen has some vulnerability in the late innings and Tampa Bay has had trouble closing out series, going 3-8 in the third games of series this season. After back-to-back lopsided losses Florida needs Johnson to step up and he has been more than capable of doing just that this season.
 
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Charlie Scott

New York Mets vs. Boston Red Sox
Play: Boston Red Sox -1.5

As You guys know, I'm a Met Head and have been a Met fan for life. However, I'm also a big fan of Money and my Money is on the Red Sox and their wiffle ball pitcher Wakefield. The Mets beat the Red Sox Saturday Night with a controversial 2 run HR with 2 out in the top of the ninth, and unlike the Met team, the Red Sox showed emotion and were pissed off ! Sunday is the last day of a 10 day road trip for the Mets that started in San Francisco. The Mets are banged up, have won 2 games out of the 3 game series already from the Sox, and just want to go home. The Mets haven't shown up on Sundays this season going 1-4 with 1 rain out so far this season on Sundays. Play the Red Sox on the -1.5 Run Line
 
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Steve Merril

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves
Play: Under 8

The Jays hope to turn things around in game three of their series with Atlanta at Turner Field. Going for the Jays is Scott Richmond who is 4-2 with a 3.64 ERA so far with four Unders in eight outings this year. Richmond is coming off a seven inning, five hit effort against the White Sox, striking out seven and walking one in the no decision. Richmond hasn’t faced Atlanta in his career, but the Braves are scuffling a bit offensively, being held to 1 run in two games before last night. They are averaging just 3.3 runs and a .249 average against right handed starters this season. Atlanta sends Jair Jurrjens to the hill with his 4-2 record and a 1.96 ERA. Jurrjens has been an Under machine, going 7-2 in that category. He is coming off an 8-1 victory over Colorado, going seven innings and giving up just the one run while striking out eight and walking only three. The righthander faced Toronto once last year, winning 4-0 over the Jays and going eight strong innings, while giving up only three hits. Jurrjens struck out three and walked one in that outing. Six of the eight Jays who have faced him are hitless against Jurrjens.
 
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EZWINNER'S FREE SELECTION

Game: Colorado Rockies @ Detroit Tigers

(906) Detroit Tigers -$155

(Listing Willis and Hammel)

The Tigers lost a one run game yesterday, but I expect them
to bounce back today and win the series against the Rockies.
Dontrelle Willis is pitching well and I like the Tigers offense to
do some damage against Jason Hammel who is 0-3 in his
last three starts with an ERA of almost 6.
Lay the juice with Detroit

2009 Free Selections Record 77-63 (55.0%)
 

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Red Dog Sports

Toronto at Atlanta
Play: Under 8

The Braves have won the first two games in the series by 1-0 and 4-3. Jair Jurrgens has an ERA of 1.96 for Atlanta with 1 over and 7 unders this year. Richmond has an ERA of 3.64 and the Blue Jays have 36 unders, 17 overs and a push in their last 54 on Sunday. The Braves have played under 18-8-1 in their last 27 Interleague games. It looks like another under for Atlanta and Toronto on Sunday.
 

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Sports Gambling Hotline

Cleveland at ORLANDO

Saturday winner on the Lakers-Denver UNDER the total, now 8-1 the last 9 days with our comp plays.

NBA action today, and we look for the Cavaliers and Magic to play their 3rd OVER in as many games.

Coming into this series, both teams had been on pronounced UNDER streaks, but thus far in this series it has been the offense that has led the way, and both finals have landed OVER the total.

We just get the feeling that the change in venues is going to help Orlando's long distance game tonight, and we are going to see a few more three-pointers ring up on the scoreboard, pushing Game Three OVER the total as well.

5 of the last 9 between the teams have played HIGH, and we think this one will as well.

Play on the OVER in the Eastern Conference Finals.

1♦ OVER
 

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Marc Lawrence Comp

Play On: Philadelphia w/Hamels vs. Sabathia

The Phillies and Yankees wrap up a three game series in the House the George built when Cole Hamels takes on C.C. Sabathia Sunday afternoon in the Bronx. Hamels enters today's game knowing he is 13-4 in his career team starts during the month of May, including 8-2 on the road. On the flip side, Sabathia is 1-3 with a 6.61 ERA in his career team starts against Philadelphia. Look for the Phillies to improve to 17-4 on Sundays, their best day of the week, here today.
______________________________________

Karl Garrett

Pittsburgh at WHITE SOX

Saturday comp play winner from the G-Man as the underdog Rockies come through at Detroit.

Now 4-1 the last 5 days for free!

On the diamond today, look for Mark Buehrle to continue his stingy ways against Pittsburgh.

Buehrle is 6-1 on the year, with a 2.77 ERA, and a closer inside of that mark shows the quick-working southpaw with a perfect 4-0 mark at home, and a 1.67 home ERA!

The Pirates bats have been kept quiet lately, as last night's game made it 4 straight UNDERS, and UNDERS in 7 of the last 11 for Pittsburgh. (as the Bucs have been UNDER in 3 of their last 4, and 6 of their last 11)

Pittsburgh has twiced faced Buehrle in inter-league play, and they have not been able to solve him, as Buehrle has worked 16 innings while allowing only 3 runs to score, while going 2-0 the last 2 years.

Jeff Karstens is adequate enough to keep the White Sox respectable, so let's play this Pittsburgh-Chicago game UNDER the posted total on the south side on Sunday.

1? UNDER
_______________________________________

Bobby Maxwell

Texas -110 at HOUSTON

FREE winner coming your way today as we play the Rangers on the road in Houston, taking on their in-state rivals in the Astros.

Something about playing their in-stat rivals really gets the Rangers going. They have won the first two games of this series and they've won nine of the last 13 they've played against the Astros. We'll go ahead and play Texas in this matchup today to make it a three-game sweep.

Brandon McCarthy (3-2, 5.60 ERA) is on the mound for the Rangers, facing Houston lefty Mike Hampton (2-3, 5.23 ERA). McCarthy has faced the Astros once in his career and was spectacular, giving up one run on four hits in six innings of a 14-1 easy win for Texas.

Houston has lost five of Hampton's last six starts, including Tuesday when he gave up two runs on three hits and went only four innings of a 4-2 loss to the Brewers. The Astros haven't won a home game with Hampton on the hill this season, going 0-4.

The Rangers are playing some good baseball, and if they hadn't made that ugly three-game stop in Detroit, they'd be on a hell of a run. They've won 14 of their last 19 overall and they are 6-1 in their last seven as a favorite.

Meanwhile, Houston is just 22-50 in their last 72 interleague games as a 'dog and 1-7 in their last eight at home against teams with winning records.

Play Texas to get this one and continue to dominate their in-state rival.

4? TEXAS
________________________________________

Matt Rivers Bonus Play

For Sunday take the number with the Giants.

Just like I said last week with Felix Hernandez in the winner I gave out on Anaheim right now, the guy certainly can be a total stud that can shut down any opponent but a bad team, which Seattle certainly is, cannot be laying a relatively large number like this, period.

The Giants are obviously a fairly awful squad that a lot of the time is offensively inept but once again bad teams just cannot be laying big prices.

Barry Zito is no longer a guy that can be fully trusted as the Cy Young days are long gone. But the lefty has been a lot better this season than last and I can see Zito hold his own today. It's not like Ichiro and these M's are exactly lighting up the scoreboard and should just tee off inning after inning.

San Francisco has enough offensively, maybe, to scratch across a few runs. Guys like Rowand, Molina, Sandoval and a few others are at least decent enough. No doubt collectively the G-Men are bad but Hernandez was hit fairly hard by the Angels last week and has not been all that of late.

In the end the Mariners are probably too good today as Hernandez should hurl seven or so strong innings but bad teams laying big numbers are a must goes against and that is the case right here.
_________________________________________

Jake Timlin Bonus Play

Take the Cardinals at home minus the cheap chalk.

In what might be one of the easiest calls of the day I fully expect for the Cardinals to sweep the Royals today. You see for the Cardinals not only are they getting solid pitching as the starters are a perfect 5-0 with an ERA of under 0.50, but the offense has not been helping out scoring 5 runs in each of the past two games which has lead to a five straight wins for St. Louis.

Meanwhile, for the Royals after starting the season red hot Kansas City has crashed back down to earth having lost their last 4 games and 11 of their last 14 games.

Flat out, given the pitching St. Louis is getting mixed in with the fact they are playing light’s out I only see a Cardinals sweep today as they make easy work of the Royals once again.

PICK: St. Louis Cardinals
___________________________________

Rob Vinciletti

Detroit vs. Chicago
Play Chicago

On Sunday the Bonus Play is on the Chicago Blackhawks.Game 14 at 3:05 eastern.The Blackhawks made this a series off there 4-3 OT win on Friday night.Now they have the confidence going into game 4.They also have history on their side.Home teams in this round down 2-1 off a home win are 18-6 all-time.Look for Chicago to get the equalizer today.Take the Chicago Blackhawks.
______________________________________
 

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Nelly Bonus Play

Florida + over Tampa Bay

The Rays have posted huge numbers in the first two games of this series but a flat spot should be expected on Sunday as the Marlins try to avoid the sweep. With the Marlins slumping there is great value on one of the best pitchers in the National League. Josh Johnson has 52 strikeouts and just 13 walks and Florida is 6-3 in his starts. At home he owns a 1.24 ERA while allowing a total of just ten earned runs over his last six starts. Florida's bullpen has also been solid with opposing batters hitting just .247 on the season. Tampa Bay is 1-5 in the last six starts for James Shields and he has not come close to the level of success he had last season. Shields has allowed 24 hits and ten runs in his last three starts and he has been a much worse pitcher away from home. With Troy Percival hitting the DL the Rays bullpen has some vulnerability in the late innings and Tampa Bay has had trouble closing out series, going 3-8 in the third games of series this season. After back-to-back lopsided losses Florida needs Johnson to step up and he has been more than capable of doing just that this season.
____________________________________

Charlie Scott Bonus Play

New York Mets vs. Boston Red Sox
Play: Boston Red Sox -1.5

As You guys know, I'm a Met Head and have been a Met fan for life. However, I'm also a big fan of Money and my Money is on the Red Sox and their wiffle ball pitcher Wakefield. The Mets beat the Red Sox Saturday Night with a controversial 2 run HR with 2 out in the top of the ninth, and unlike the Met team, the Red Sox showed emotion and were pissed off ! Sunday is the last day of a 10 day road trip for the Mets that started in San Francisco. The Mets are banged up, have won 2 games out of the 3 game series already from the Sox, and just want to go home. The Mets haven't shown up on Sundays this season going 1-4 with 1 rain out so far this season on Sundays. Play the Red Sox on the -1.5 Run Line
____________________________________

Steve Merrill Bonus Play

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves
Play: Under 8

The Jays hope to turn things around in game three of their series with Atlanta at Turner Field. Going for the Jays is Scott Richmond who is 4-2 with a 3.64 ERA so far with four Unders in eight outings this year. Richmond is coming off a seven inning, five hit effort against the White Sox, striking out seven and walking one in the no decision. Richmond hasn’t faced Atlanta in his career, but the Braves are scuffling a bit offensively, being held to 1 run in two games before last night. They are averaging just 3.3 runs and a .249 average against right handed starters this season. Atlanta sends Jair Jurrjens to the hill with his 4-2 record and a 1.96 ERA. Jurrjens has been an Under machine, going 7-2 in that category. He is coming off an 8-1 victory over Colorado, going seven innings and giving up just the one run while striking out eight and walking only three. The righthander faced Toronto once last year, winning 4-0 over the Jays and going eight strong innings, while giving up only three hits. Jurrjens struck out three and walked one in that outing. Six of the eight Jays who have faced him are hitless against Jurrjens.
_______________________________

EZWINNER'S FREE SELECTION

Game: Colorado Rockies @ Detroit Tigers

(906) Detroit Tigers -$155

(Listing Willis and Hammel)

The Tigers lost a one run game yesterday, but I expect them
to bounce back today and win the series against the Rockies.
Dontrelle Willis is pitching well and I like the Tigers offense to
do some damage against Jason Hammel who is 0-3 in his
last three starts with an ERA of almost 6.
Lay the juice with Detroit

2009 Free Selections Record 77-63 (55.0%)
_________________________________

Totals4U
Sunday's free selection: Milwaukee/Minnesota over 9
_________________________________
 

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AJPierzynski

YTD:
1 unit Plays: 234-220 +11.52 units
2 unit Plays: 219-144 +115.36 units
Total: 453-364 +126.88 units

Mil/Min Over 9 -115 (2 units)
Ari/Oak Under 8.5 -105 (2 units)
Clevelad Indians -122 (2 units)
 

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